Hugo López-Gatell, undersecretary of Prevention of Health Promotion (SSa), ensured that the COVID-19 disease transmission curve did flatten, thanks to the measures of the National Day of Sana Distance (JNSD) implemented from March 22.
From the National Palace, the official explained that, if the strategy had not been carried out, the contagion peak would have been reached in 12 days, which would mean the collapse of the national health system.
"For those who wonder where this flattening out of the curve is, Well, this is it, instead of having more than 38 thousand cases in 12 days, in the Valley of Mexico, there were only 21 thousand 800 and in a larger span of days. "
The undersecretary presented the models with intervention, without intervention and observed in the Valley of Mexico as of May 14, 2020. One of the lines in the graph indicated that, without the implementation of the JNSD to stop the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, on April 10 the epidemic would have been extinguished and there would be no new cases; consequently, the curve would be displayed horizontally.
"Notice that only from March 28 to April 10, in these 12 days, the epidemic would have been exhausted. One might think, "How positive, we would have had a very short epidemic, we would already be carefree."
But no, because the worrying thing is that we would have had the number of cases that can be had over several weeks and months in just those 12 days and we would have gotten to add these 38,500 cases in just 12 days. Evidently the National Health System would have collapsed, the Care System would not have been competent to receive so many people ”
In the same graph, it was estimated that by mid-April, 38,733 positive infections would have been reported in the country's capital, and the government's first mathematical prediction, using Sana Distancia measurements, 23,398 positive cases were expected for May 13.
"So the daily contagion curve that we have today going to keep going up until we get to a turning point that stops the rise. That the cases do not increase does not mean ‘flatten the curve’, that is ‘bend the curve,’ ”he stressed.
And it is that, according to the daily report on the progress of the coronavirus epidemic in the country, until Monday May 25, Mexico was reported 7,633 deaths. With this figure, the Mexican nation became the nineth country with more deaths from the disease, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.
In addition, the Ministry of Health (SSa) reported that there are 71,105 accumulated confirmed cases, which position the country at number 17 in the global table in this area. Additionally, they were accounted for 641 suspicious deaths.
From the National Palace, the director of Epidemiology, José Luis Alomy, announced that total 14,020 active infections, which means that these patients presented symptoms in the last 14 days.
As for the number of suspected cases accumulated, the figure rises to 29,509 and the tests that have given negative results add up to 125,036. The total of people studied with suspected coronavirus in the country, as reported by the epidemiologist, is 225,650. He also disclosed that they are going 64 days of the National Day of Healthy Distance and missing five more days.
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